News & Investment Updates From Fulcrum Wealth Advisors
Investment Update
Simplicity Is a Good Defense Against Uncertainty
In investing, uncertainty isn’t a bug — it’s a feature.
No matter how much data we gather or how many historical patterns we study, markets have a way of surprising even the most seasoned observers. The challenge isn’t in predicting these surprises; it’s in expecting and preparing for them.
At Fulcrum Wealth Advisors, we believe the best defense against uncertainty isn’t complexity, but simplicity. Rather than layering on endless rules to account for every possible market twist, we focus on the few relationships that have demonstrated durability over time. One of the most reliable patterns we observe is the clustering of volatility — the idea that extreme moves, both up and down, often come in waves.
April provided a vivid reminder of this phenomenon, as sharp declines and dramatic rallies unfolded within days of each other. Moments like these reinforce why our systematic investing approach emphasizes trend direction, not short-term prediction. It’s not about avoiding every bump; it’s about consistently adapting to the environment, reducing risk when conditions warrant, and positioning for long-term compounding.
In this Investment Update, we explore how April’s market behavior illustrated the power — and necessity — of simplicity, discipline, and flexibility in portfolio management.
But first, here’s a summary of the global asset classes utilized in our portfolios and their exposures for May.
News
You Are Not A Fruit Fly
Do you know what the average life span is of a fruit fly? Our guess was 24 hours, but a fruit fly can actually live for 40-50 days. We tell you this because none of us want to live just 40-50 days. The timeline for your financial goals is probably also significantly longer than that as well. If our lives were wrapped up in that short of a time frame, we would do a lot of things differently wouldn’t we? Yet, it seems pundits and the markets are telling us lately that our lives will be determined by what has happened over the last couple of weeks? But, you are not a fruit fly!
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